New Nanos Research Poll

When I average the findings of the last two Nanos Research Polls and run them through my seat forecaster, the results suggest it might be advantageous to the Liberals to bring down the Conservatives on the budget.

Although the latest poll has the Liberals and Conservatives deadlocked at 34% with the NDP 14%, the BQ at 10% (40% in Quebec) and the Greens at 8%, my seat estimate is as follows:

Liberal	Cons.	NDP	Bloc	Green	Other
144	97	18	49	0	0

The national tie disguises the fact that the Liberals lead substantially in Ontario (I estimate 77 seats there for them) while the Conservative vote is inefficiently distributed nationwide.